Futures Trading based on COT Report W48-20

by Michael Chechnev | Nov 29, 2020 | Trading week results

Hello Insiders,

Today is Sunday, November, 29th and we traditionally summarize the last trading week.

At the end of the week we came with a short position in Natural Gas and have closed position in T-bonds.

30-yr T-BONDS – closed position

SetUp to buy for 30-yr T-Bonds was published in the weekly trading plan W48. It is important to pay attention to the net positions of commercial. They are at historical highs. This means the possible start of a global trend here.

Our deal was opened on Wednesday. On Friday we had to leave the position due to the rollover to a new contract. The position is closed at breakeven.

We managed to close the position with a small plus on the small account. Profit is $157.

In general, the new bond contract can be keep for a few more days. Since now are statistical good days for a long position. But keep in mind that trading day 20 is not very good for a long position.

NATURAL GAS – open position

SetUp to sell for natural gas was published in the weekly trading plan W46. This pattern works every year. Look how the natural gas price went down last year. In previous years it was the same situation.

On the daily chart, we see that the impulse has already taken place. Moreover, there was a gap. Then there was a correction and we entered the second correction.

The position was opened this Friday. The position is kept.


The week for the CRB index closes with a new high. The index looks bullish. If there are new setups in the analysis of the latest COT report, then we will prefere long setups and long trades.

That’s all about our trading in this week.

СOT report will be published on Monday. Our COT map will be updated on Tuesday and our plans based on the latest COT data will also be published on Tuesday.

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Risk Disclosure: Trading in futures, forex and CFD's involves a high degree of risk and is not suitable for every investor. An investor may possibly lose more than the capital deposited. Only risk capital should be used for trading, or parts of risk capital. Risk capital is money, the loss of which does not change the financial situation or does not affect life. Performance achieved in the past is not a guarantee of future profits.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. The account results presented may vary significantly in gains and losses. One of the limitations of hypothetical results is that they are generated by known historical data. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk - no hypothetical track record can represent the financial risks of actual trading. For example, there is a possibility that trading will be suspended or cancelled if losses are incurred, this can greatly change the actual results. Furthermore, there are numerous other factors that cannot be fully accounted for in hypothetical performance when implementing a trading program, and thus can affect actual results.

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